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早期临床试验设计与分析方法比较

Comprehensive comparisons of novel statistical designs for early phase clinical trials

  • 摘要:
    目的 探讨6种经典与创新型早期临床试验设计与分析方法在多种剂量-疗效关系情境中的应用效果。
    方法 结合临床经验,设计4种剂量水平下4种情境的剂量-毒性曲线(单调递增)和剂量-疗效曲线(单调递增和非单调递增)。使用R软件进行数值模拟分析,比较EffTox设计、STEIN设计、UBOIN设计、TEPI设计、PRINTE设计和Ji3+3设计在不同情境下的安全性和效用性指标,并在实际数据集上进行检验。
    结果 在4种单调递增和4种非单调递增的剂量-疗效关系下,STEIN均具有良好的安全性和效用性;EffTox效用性指标的稳定性较差,在不同的剂量-疗效关系中稳定性更差;TEPI需要牺牲更多的毒性剂量患者数、最佳生物学剂量(optimal biological dose, OBD)准确性以及OBD患者占比才能达到PRINTE的毒性剂量选择占比和OBD准确性;Ji3+3的性能趋势和效果与PRINTE相似;UBOIN的效用性略差于PRINTE和Ji3+3。
    结论 STEIN适用于多种剂量-疗效关系,效果良好且稳定;不建议在非单调剂量-疗效关系中使用EffTox;PRINTE具有比TEPI更好的安全性和效用性;当试验对毒性剂量患者数有较高要求时,可优先考虑使用UBOIN。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To explore the application effectiveness of multiple classic and innovative early-stage clinical trial design and analysis methods in various dose-response scenarios.
    Methods Combined with clinical experience, the dosetoxicity curve (monotonously increasing) and dose-efficacy curve (monotonously increasing and non-monotonously increasing) were designed for 4 scenarios at 4 dose levels. The R software was used to perform numerical simulation analysis, and the safety and efficacy measures of EffTox, STEIN, UBOIN, TEPI, PRINTE and Ji3+3 were compared under different scenarios and tested on the actual data set.
    Results STEIN had good safety and efficacy, and it was very robust in multiple dose-efficacy scenarios; the efficacy of EffTox measures were less robust, especially for different dose-efficacy scenarios; TEPI required sacrificing more toxic dose patients and greater proportion of optimal biological dose (OBD) patients to proportion of toxic dose selection and OBD accuracy of PRINTE. The performance trend and effect of Ji3+3 were similar to those of PRINTE; UBOIN was slightly less effective than PRINTE and Ji3+3.
    Conclusions STEIN is suitable for a variety of dose-efficacy scenarios, with good and stable results; it is not recommended to use EffTox in non-monotonously increasing dose-efficacy scenarios; PRINTE has better safety and efficacy than TEPI; UBOIN may be preferred in a trial expected lower number of patients with toxic doses.

     

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