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D-二聚体对急性心肌梗死患者院内死亡及射血分数降低型心力衰竭的预测价值

Predictive value of D-dimer for in-hospital mortality and heart failure with reduced ejection fraction in patients with acute myocardial infarction

  • 摘要:
    目的 探讨D-二聚体对急性心肌梗死(acute myocardial infarction,AMI)患者院内死亡及射血分数降低型心力衰竭(heart failure with reduced ejection fraction,HFrEF)的预测价值。
    方法 回顾性纳入2020年1月至2023年12月于复旦大学附属中山医院住院治疗的AMI患者688例。收集患者一般临床资料、实验室指标、超声心动图参数及住院期间临床结局。根据D-二聚体四分位数分成4组,采用趋势检验比较各指标随D-二聚体升高的变化。主要观察终点为院内死亡和发生HFrEF。采用多因素logistic回归分析D-二聚体与院内死亡及HFrEF的独立相关性,并应用受试者工作特征(receiver operating characteristic, ROC)曲线评价D-二聚体的预测效能。
    结果 4组患者的年龄、肌酐、峰值心肌肌钙蛋白T、峰值氨基末端脑钠肽前体(N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide,NT-proBNP)、左心室射血分数、HFrEF发生率及院内死亡率差异及趋势检验均有统计学意义(P<0.05)。多因素logistic回归分析显示,D-二聚体升高与AMI患者院内死亡风险增加独立相关(OR=1.251,95%CI 1.093~1.432,P=0.001),与HFrEF发生独立相关(OR=1.075,95%CI 1.028~1.124,P=0.002)。ROC曲线分析显示,D-二聚体预测院内死亡的曲线下面积(area under the curve, AUC)为0.871,预测HFrEF的AUC为0.716。当截断值为0.47 mg/L时,D-二聚体预测HFrEF的灵敏度和特异度分别为81.9%和52.1%;当截断值为2.18 mg/L时,D-二聚体预测院内死亡的灵敏度和特异度分别为63.6%和93.8%。限制性立方样条分析显示,D-二聚体与院内死亡及HFrEF发生风险均存在显著非线性关联(P<0.001)。
    结论 D-二聚体水平升高与AMI患者院内死亡及HFrEF发生风险增加显著相关,并具有一定预测效能。D-二聚体作为一种简便、可及的实验室指标,可为AMI患者早期风险分层和临床管理提供参考。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective  To investigate the predictive value of D-dimer for in-hospital mortality and heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI).
    Methods A total of 688 patients with AMI who were hospitalized at Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, from January 2020 to December 2023 were retrospectively enrolled. Demographic and clinical characteristics, laboratory findings, echocardiographic parameters, and in-hospital outcomes were collected. Patients were divided into four groups according to D-dimer quartiles, and trend tests were used to compare changes in each indicator with increasing D-dimer levels. The primary endpoints were in-hospital mortality and HFrEF. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to assess the independent associations of D-dimer with in-hospital mortality and HFrEF. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to evaluate its predictive performance.
    Results Differences and trend tests among four groups for age, creatinine, peak cardiac troponin T, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), left ventricular ejection fraction, HFrEF incidence, and in-hospital mortality were statistically significant (P<0.05). Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that elevated D-dimer was associated with an increased risk of in-hospital mortality in patients with AMI (OR=1.251, 95%CI 1.093–1.432, P=0.001), and HFrEF (OR=1.075, 95%CI 1.028–1.124, P=0.002). ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve (AUC) of D-dimer for predicting in-hospital mortality and HFrEF were 0.871 and 0.716, respectively. At a cutoff value of 0.47 mg/L, the sensitivity and specificity of D-dimer in predicting HFrEF were 81.9% and 52.1%, respectively; at a cutoff value of 2.18 mg/L, the sensitivity and specificity of D-dimer in predicting in-hospital mortality were 63.6% and 93.8%, respectively. Restricted cubic spline analysis demonstrated significant non-linear associations between D-dimer and the risks of in-hospital mortality and HFrEF (P<0.001).
    Conclusions  Elevated D-dimer level is significantly associated with increased risks of in-hospital mortality and HFrEF in patients with AMI and shows acceptable predictive performance. As a simple and readily available laboratory biomarker, D-dimer may provide useful information for early risk stratification and clinical management in patients with AMI.

     

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