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预后营养指数和营养控制状态评分对老年重度创伤性脑损伤的预后预测价值

Predictive value of prognostic nutritional index and controlling nutritional status score in the prognosis of elderly patients with severe traumatic brain injury

  • 摘要:
    目的 探讨预后营养指数(prognostic nutritional index,PNI)和营养控制状态(controlling nutritional status,CONUT)评分对老年重度创伤性脑损伤(traumatic brain injury,TBI)患者的预后预测价值。
    方法 选取2019年1月至2020年12月南通市海安市人民医院收治的108例老年TBI患者,根据改良的Rankin量表(mRS)评估患者发病后6个月的神经功能,分为预后良好组(mRS<3分, n=46)和预后不良组(mRS≥3分, n=62)。收集患者的一般资料和临床特征并计算PNI和CONUT评分。通过二元logistic回归分析患者功能预后的影响因素。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线明确PNI和CONUT评分鉴别患者功能预后的最佳截断值及曲线下面积(AUC)。
    结果 与预后良好组相比,预后不良组患者年龄较大、Glasgow评分较高、CONUT评分较高、PNI评分较低(P<0.05)。Logistic回归分析提示,PNI(OR=0.64, P=0.007)、CONUT评分(OR=1.44, P=0.04)、年龄(OR=1.37, P=0.002)以及Glasgow评分(OR=0.05, P=0.001)是影响患者发病后6个月神经功能的因素。PNI和CONUT评分预测患者6个月时神经功能预后不良的最佳截断值分别为48分和3分,AUC分别为0.79和0.69。
    结论 PNI和CONUT评分对老年重度TBI患者预后有一定的预测价值。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective To explore the predictive value of prognostic nutritional index (PNI) and controlling nutritional status (CONUT) score in the prognosis of elderly patients with severe traumatic brain injury (TBI).
    Methods A total of 108 elderly TBI patients treated at Hai'an People's Hospital from January 2019 to December 2020 were included. The patients were divided into the good prognosis group (modified Rankin Scale, mRS < 3; n=46) and the poor prognosis group (mRS≥3; n=62). Patients' demographics, clinical data, PNI and CONUT score were calculated and collected. The binary logistic regression model was used to analyze risk factors for patient neurological functional outcome. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to analyze the optimal cut-off value and area under the curve (AUC) for PNI and CONUT to discriminate patient outcome at 6 months.
    Results Compared with patients with good prognosis, patients in poor prognosis group presented with significantly older age, increased Glasgow score, higher CONUT score and lower PNI score (P < 0.05). Binary logistic regression analysis showed that PNI (OR=0.64, P=0.007), CONUT score (OR=1.44, P=0.04), patient age (OR=1.37, P=0.002) and the Glasgow score (OR=0.05, P=0.001) were significantly associated with the neurological functional outcome at 6 months after onset of TBI. The optimal cut-off value for PNI and CONUT to distinguish neurological functional outcome at 6 months were 48 and 3, respectively, with a corresponding AUC of 0.79 and 0.69.
    Conclusion PNI and CONUT score have certain predictive value for the prognosis of elderly patients with severe TBI.

     

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